Why Alexander Hernandez vs. Renato Moicano is a battle to observe

Alexander Hernandez vs. Renato Moicano odds courtesy of Sports activities Interplay, Canada’s most trusted sportsbook.

The UFC’s middleweight division will take over the highlight at UFC 271 on Saturday from inside Houston’s Toyota Heart. Israel Adesanya shall be defending the UFC middleweight title towards Robert Whittaker. Outdoors of that battle, the light-weight division additionally will look to make its presence felt.

Sporting Information, with the assistance of Sports activities Interplay, takes a more in-depth take a look at a light-weight bout that, on paper, has an opportunity to “wow” the group in Texas. That bout is Alexander Hernandez vs. Renato Moicano. 

MORE: Ultimate battle for “The Completely happy Warrior”: Roxanne Modafferi on her final battle at UFC 271, favourite moments, and anime

Fighter overview

Hernandez made his MMA debut in 2012. He joined the UFC in a last-minute affair in 2018, knocking out Beneil Dariush at UFC 222. “The Nice” is 5-Three with the UFC and 2-2 in his previous 4 fights. In October, Hernandez beat Mike Breeden by way of knockout. 

This battle means quite a bit to Hernandez, who has been visibly upset that he was initially competing on the Struggle Move prelims at UFC 271.

“Man, I’m fired the f—okay up due to the quantity of disrespect that the UFC is displaying me on this card,” Hernandez stated to MMA Preventing by way of the “We Acquired Subsequent” podcast. “We’ve to attend 4 months after which I’m on the early f—king prelims. I imply, that incites such a rage in me so I’m coming to make a press release. I’m so fired up about that. I’m so pissed off and I’m so motivated, so I’m actually desperate to make a press release.”

The battle has since been elevated to the principle card after bouts being moved round or nixed

Moicano began his profession with Jungle Struggle in Brazil. An interim Jungle Struggle featherweight champion, Moicano joined the UFC in 2014. He has competed within the featherweight and light-weight divisions for the corporate. Moicano confronted some robust competitors in his early UFC run. He has fought the likes of Jeremy Stephens, Brian Ortega, Calvin Kattar, Cub Swanson, Jose Aldo and Chan Sung Jung. 

Moicano’s final battle was a submission win in June over Jai Herbert. He’s 7-Four with the promotion. Moicano is fairly assured within the end result of this battle and is able to use all facets of his battle recreation to take out Hernandez. 

“It will probably go each methods. Seeing Hernandez’s fights towards Moises, they’re each good grapplers however stood the complete three rounds,” Moicano instructed BJPenn.com. “Generally I attempt to take guys down, generally I keep standing and strike. … It’s all about successful, it doesn’t matter if I end or go to a choice. I simply should be sharp and do what I must do to get the win.”

MORE: UFC 271 battle date, time, odds, PPV value, card and placement for Israel Adesanya vs. Robert Whittaker 2

How the battle is leaning

Per Sports activities Interplay, Hernandez is the +125 underdog. Which means a $44.45 wager will lead to a $100 revenue. Moicano is the -165 favourite, that means a $62.27 wager can lead to a $100 payout. By betting $100 on Moicano, you’ll be able to win $160. 

Due to the explosive nature of each males, the battle going underneath 2 half of rounds is the -140 favourite, whereas it going the space is the +110 underdog. At -140, a $58.34 wager will lead to a $100 revenue. At +110, a $47.62 wager ends in a $100 revenue. 

So far as the tactic of victory is worried, Moicano by way of determination is +230 by way of the FanDuel Sportsbook. Hernandez successful by some type of knockout is +270. 

Who has the sting? 

Moicano seems to have a bonus over Hernandez. He has landed 5.12 vital strikes per minute and has a 47 p.c strike accuracy. Hernandez has landed 3.79 strikes per minute and had a 36 p.c accuracy price. They’re shut when speaking about strike protection (65 p.c for Moicano in contrast with 59 p.c for Hernandez). 

One factor to regulate is the facility of each. Moicano has zero wins by way of knockout, whereas Hernandez has six. Of their previous 4 fights, Hernandez has landed 133 photographs. Moicano has landed 66. Hernandez has been identified to strike at any time. Being affected person, particularly since a loss towards Donald Cerrone in 2019, has been one thing he’s labored on. 

On the bottom, Hernandez has a 1.57 common takedown price per 15 minutes. Moicano has a 1.96 price together with a 60 p.c takedown accuracy price (Hernandez is at 35 p.c). Hernandez’s protection on the subject of takedowns is at 62 p.c, whereas Moicano’s is at 78 p.c. 

What he lacks in knockout wins, Moicano has in submissions with eight. Hernandez has two submission wins however final gained that means in 2016 with RFA. 

MORE: Israel Adesanya vs. Robert Whittaker 2 odds, predictions, betting tendencies for UFC 271

The concept that Hernandez is the true underdog on this battle doesn’t seem like truthful, as each have a bonus over the opposite. What Moicano does convey to the desk is expertise and grit. Hernandez has one thing to show, particularly after his most up-to-date feedback. On the brilliant stage of the principle card now, the stress is on.

If Moicano can get Hernandez to the ground, it may very well be a tough evening for the latter. Nevertheless, it seems that a motivated Hernandez can get the job finished so long as he’s affected person. If he isn’t trigger-happy, Hernandez could make UFC 271 an evening to recollect. 

Sporting Information prediction: Hernandez by way of KO

Supply hyperlink